yes we are in collapse. It is not evely paced but will come for everyone in different times - within decades sadly. @matt ross agree. In chaos theory the idea of "disappative equilibrium" suggest we cannot be in stasis but always changing.
Insightful article, Ernesto! Love how you synthesized the two future timelines I write about into a grounded perspective of what we must do here together going forward.
Yep, it's happening. And yet, part of me feels that some responses will be surprising, positive even. There is still a chance if we can avoid the red buttons.
A spot along the river today. Reading David Whyte, Hermann Hesse, Barry Lopez...
all poets who have given me vision... sharpened my senses.
This river always teaches: last summer, how to tell time by butterflies... late spring, dark black with iridescent blue, later bright yellow with black, then small and white. By the end of the summer golden brown and orange, as if letting me know that the colors of trees will be changing. Each one in their own time and place.
Then I wonder about what I cannot imagine... How Native Americans lived on the land, maybe better, how the land lived inside of them. Able to know what a new scent on a breeze means, footprints that speak of a conversation the night before, every night the moon telling a new story...
An intimacy beyond words, that I may never know. Beyond my imagination as long as I live in a world of objects and not relationships.
As with personal transformation, it only really comes about through suffering. I think it’s a spiritual solution that is needed. As Einstein says, you cannot fix a problem on the level it was created. Moving from a paradigm of separation to one of oneness, from one of power over to one of cooperation is perhaps exactly what is happening. What else would it look like?
Can confirm we are in stage 4 of collapse and there are only 5 stages. You are confirming kind of on the late side. This scares me. But what scares me even more is you are still one of the early ones.
The sense of dis-ease in the West is palpable. The body politic is on life support. Everything seems to be in freefall. Humanity is much stronger and more able to face problems when we band together, but there are powerful forces driving us further apart. We're going to have to find ways to reconnect as a species and rekindle our connection to nature if we want to get through the next few decades in one piece.
If you feel the cracks widening — if you sense that something deeper is unraveling beneath the surface noise — I invite you to explore my new audiobook, The Lie We Refuse to End.
It’s not a commentary on the daily headlines. It’s a deeper reckoning with the structures, betrayals, and moral collapse shaping this moment in America.
If you’re looking for something that pierces through the shallow interpretations and names what’s truly at stake, you’ll find it here.
Societies collapse all of the time. And not always because of external factors.
Looking at past ones, one has to conclude that these events are used as opportunities for "Social Entrepreneurs". Sadly most of these turn out to be depots. E.g. Idealist in Russia may have started the revolution, but it ended up with Stalin.
If you are planning to rebuild, the first task is to work out how to frustrate the "Bad Actors", rather than assume (your) idealism will be universal.
yes we are in collapse. It is not evely paced but will come for everyone in different times - within decades sadly. @matt ross agree. In chaos theory the idea of "disappative equilibrium" suggest we cannot be in stasis but always changing.
Insightful article, Ernesto! Love how you synthesized the two future timelines I write about into a grounded perspective of what we must do here together going forward.
'Because collapse is not just a crisis.
It is an invitation'....👇👇
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=SMDJlDLXlLc
Yep, it's happening. And yet, part of me feels that some responses will be surprising, positive even. There is still a chance if we can avoid the red buttons.
Excellent summary btw.
The only constant is change.
I hope this connects…
At the River
A spot along the river today. Reading David Whyte, Hermann Hesse, Barry Lopez...
all poets who have given me vision... sharpened my senses.
This river always teaches: last summer, how to tell time by butterflies... late spring, dark black with iridescent blue, later bright yellow with black, then small and white. By the end of the summer golden brown and orange, as if letting me know that the colors of trees will be changing. Each one in their own time and place.
Then I wonder about what I cannot imagine... How Native Americans lived on the land, maybe better, how the land lived inside of them. Able to know what a new scent on a breeze means, footprints that speak of a conversation the night before, every night the moon telling a new story...
An intimacy beyond words, that I may never know. Beyond my imagination as long as I live in a world of objects and not relationships.
Michael Tscheu
In memory of Barry Lopez
As with personal transformation, it only really comes about through suffering. I think it’s a spiritual solution that is needed. As Einstein says, you cannot fix a problem on the level it was created. Moving from a paradigm of separation to one of oneness, from one of power over to one of cooperation is perhaps exactly what is happening. What else would it look like?
Can confirm we are in stage 4 of collapse and there are only 5 stages. You are confirming kind of on the late side. This scares me. But what scares me even more is you are still one of the early ones.
The sense of dis-ease in the West is palpable. The body politic is on life support. Everything seems to be in freefall. Humanity is much stronger and more able to face problems when we band together, but there are powerful forces driving us further apart. We're going to have to find ways to reconnect as a species and rekindle our connection to nature if we want to get through the next few decades in one piece.
Yep, it's called natural law. The dynamics that govern the consequence of human behaviour.
If you feel the cracks widening — if you sense that something deeper is unraveling beneath the surface noise — I invite you to explore my new audiobook, The Lie We Refuse to End.
It’s not a commentary on the daily headlines. It’s a deeper reckoning with the structures, betrayals, and moral collapse shaping this moment in America.
If you’re looking for something that pierces through the shallow interpretations and names what’s truly at stake, you’ll find it here.
You can read more about it in the announcement post: https://open.substack.com/pub/eliaswinter/p/a-voice-at-the-edge-of-empire?r=5f7ps0&utm_medium=ios
Thank you for being here — and for daring to look deeper.
The collapse started as soon as Europeans reached the shores of Turtle Island.
It is time to become an adult species
I’ve worked out the new psychology:
https://ecopsychologynow.blog/2025/02/14/gaia-psychology/
Thank you
Societies collapse all of the time. And not always because of external factors.
Looking at past ones, one has to conclude that these events are used as opportunities for "Social Entrepreneurs". Sadly most of these turn out to be depots. E.g. Idealist in Russia may have started the revolution, but it ended up with Stalin.
If you are planning to rebuild, the first task is to work out how to frustrate the "Bad Actors", rather than assume (your) idealism will be universal.